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Jamie Dupree

Another Election Warning For The GOP

By
Jamie Dupree
@ May 5, 2008 12:00 AM
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For the second time in less than two months, Republicans in Congress have been put on notice. No seats are safe in 2008.

This time Democrats picked up a seat from Louisiana in a special election that saw the GOP try to use Barack Obama as a negative against Democratic candidate Don Cazayoux, who now becomes a superdelegate because of his upset victory..

I'm sure the GOP advertisement was something that Republicans in DC and Louisiana figured was the right tonic needed to knock Cazayoux back into the bayou.

"A special election for Congress. And it's all about two politicians.
Their philosophy is clear: more government, more taxes, less freedom.
It's a radical agenda very different from Louisiana's values.
The Obama and Pelosi team needs Don Cazayoux to win this special election. Cazayoux will be a vote for THEIR agenda...so they fund his campaign.
Is Obama right for Louisiana? Is Pelosi? You decide."

The voters did decide, putting a Democrat in that Baton Rouge, Louisiana Congressional seat for the first time since 1975.

Back in early March, Republicans lost the seat of former House Speaker Dennis Hastert, who had resigned after the GOP lost its Congressional majority.

Two weeks ago, Democrat Travis Childers came within a few hundred votes of winning another so-called "Safe Republican" seat in Mississippi. He'll try to win that seat in a runoff with the top GOP candidate on May 13.

Republicans have quietly blamed bad candidates for their special election troubles. Maybe I should quote the Church Lady here.

"How convenient," she would say.

What does it tell me? It makes clear that the Political Playing Field is right now tilted heavily in favor of Democrats. They have no business winning some of these seats that have long been held by the GOP.

The fact that they are winning means that GOP incumbents will need to run this year like they have never run before.

And it reinforces just how lucky the Republicans are to have Sen. John McCain as their standardbearer. It may be that McCain is about the only Republican who has a chance this year to win the White House.

For now, he's doing well against the Democrats. Whether he'll still do well after the Democrats get a nominee and start hammering him as a 'third term for President Bush," we'll see.



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